Which way will the wind blow?

After a first half fraught with many challenges, what will steady investor nerves, if anything? Will the resilience of the US economy persist as deregulation, lower energy prices, mergers and acquisitions, fiscal stimulus and business investment outweigh the effects of import tariffs on inflation and consumption?

How will Europe cope with the US tariffs? Can (the prospect of) generous spending on infrastructure and defence offset the headwinds ? Will government support allow the Chinese economy to overcome tariff hurdles? As for asset allocation, is it full steam ahead for equities, while bond yields face a fork in the road?

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Important information

Please note that articles may contain technical language. For this reason, they may not be suitable for readers without professional investment experience. Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. Individual portfolio management teams may hold different views and may take different investment decisions for different clients. This document does not constitute investment advice. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns. Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions). Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.

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