Economics

MARKET UPDATE 11.08.2022
Weekly market update – Will recession risk stay the central banks’ hands?
Global central banks have been tightening policy aggressively to slow decades-high inflation, sparking concerns of an impending economic recession. While...

MARKET UPDATE 04.08.2022
Weekly market update – Diverging outlooks
On one hand, the latest corporate earnings reporting season has been typical. Earnings and sales surprises were modestly positive, in...

ASSET ALLOCATION
Asset allocation highlights – Expectations out of line
Given that the current downturn really is global, we are struck by the gap between optimistic equity analyst views and...

MARKET UPDATE 28.07.2022
Weekly market update – Worrywarts may yet smile
Investors have oscillated between worries about recession and inflation over the course of the year. This has made it difficult...

INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
Mid-year outlook takeaways – Chronicle of a recession foretold
Investor surveys, and now the US yield curve, indicate a high likelihood of a recession in the US. The question...

Zero-Covid weighs on China’s growth in Q2
A weak second quarter for China’s economy, with GDP growth narrowly avoiding contraction, might mark the low for this cycle...

MARKET UPDATE 14.07.2022
Weekly investment update – The credibility of the US Fed and a 100bp rate rise
US recession concerns are mounting, but still high inflation is underscoring the wide consensus among US policymakers for tightening up...

Asset allocation video – Recession: The numbers say ‘soon’. Or do they?
Expectations are rising that a recession is around the corner, but current economic conditions do not correspond with that outlook:...

MARKET UPDATE 07.07.2022
Weekly investment update – Post Fourth of July blues
First-half returns on equities and bonds were frankly disastrous. Furthermore, establishing a reliable scenario that can stand the test of...

Inflation runs amok! An infographic
Just a year ago, inflation appeared high but under control. Published annual consumer price rises stood at 2% in the...

Asset allocation video – Taking risk off the table
Higher yields, worries about rising inflation and slowing growth, and the prospect of more - and larger - US rate...

MARKET UPDATE 10.06.2022
Weekly investment update – Here comes the European Central Bank
May ended on a positive note for equities as they regained their end-April level (MSCI ACWI), but June has seen...